Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.417242 5.599318e-01 0.724899 0.926668 1.163773 1.430693 1.750995
2025-04-20 0.221649 3.861243e-01 0.607654 0.913385 1.310344 1.795235 2.419008
2025-04-27 0.116399 2.744996e-01 0.524918 0.911935 1.458949 2.171561 3.136808
2025-05-04 0.052342 1.837759e-01 0.435632 0.873083 1.542881 2.466463 3.772891
2025-05-11 0.019962 1.204774e-01 0.361141 0.831794 1.608101 2.733203 4.383700
2025-05-18 0.007339 8.621685e-02 0.322633 0.835673 1.734463 3.088002 5.128145
2025-05-25 0.001481 5.589439e-02 0.273991 0.805913 1.798119 3.350482 5.752401
2025-06-01 0.000319 4.523144e-02 0.268702 0.857370 1.998883 3.825989 6.696516
2025-06-08 0.000002 3.158113e-02 0.243916 0.860554 2.113260 4.172191 7.463867
2025-06-15 NaN 2.750676e-02 0.249794 0.932556 2.355444 4.727478 8.554745
2025-06-22 NaN 2.187817e-02 0.244578 0.976464 2.547679 5.209724 9.549742
2025-06-29 NaN 1.571191e-02 0.229873 0.992931 2.687718 5.611712 10.433905
2025-07-06 NaN 8.879644e-03 0.199983 0.963960 2.740537 5.879708 11.134455
2025-07-13 NaN 5.556136e-03 0.185449 0.973308 2.869749 6.279801 12.049632
2025-07-20 NaN 3.306849e-03 0.172631 0.983937 3.001406 6.688070 12.987332
2025-07-27 NaN 1.270147e-03 0.148015 0.949201 3.033187 6.925199 13.662637
2025-08-03 NaN 3.042925e-04 0.124597 0.908614 3.046260 7.127860 14.286409
2025-08-10 NaN 7.493869e-05 0.114959 0.914385 3.161992 7.514472 15.211068
2025-08-17 NaN 5.172948e-07 0.097893 0.883569 3.189852 7.743319 15.885680
2025-08-24 NaN 4.123491e-10 0.100864 0.938788 3.423680 8.351988 17.187384
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.092857 0.942416 3.533884 8.737358 18.131665
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.100064 1.019102 3.825642 9.463695 19.645375
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.100966 1.065805 4.046061 10.062716 20.958430